Tesla’s reliance on Chinese parts highlights US-China trade tensions
Tesla and other companies are buying components from Chinese suppliers amid ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions. The odds of the EU...
Prediction Markets
Tesla’s reliance on Chinese components complicates US-China trade tensions
Tesla’s use of Chinese components ties it to the U.S.-China supply chain amid trade tensions. The EU retaliatory tariff market...
US issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran as missile attacks escalate tensions
Iran and Lebanon launched missile attacks on Israel, leading the U.S. to issue a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran. The odds...
Iran and Lebanon missile attacks on Israel prompt US 48-hour deadline for deal
Iran and Lebanon launched missile attacks on Israel, leading the US to give Iran a 48-hour deadline for a deal....
Trump gives Iran 48 hours to negotiate deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%
President Trump has given Iran 48 hours to reach a deal, warning of severe consequences otherwise. The odds of a...
Trump issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran amid dwindling ceasefire odds
President Trump has issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, threatening severe consequences if no deal is reached. The odds of...
Iran open to bilateral diplomacy as ceasefire odds remain low: FT
Iran’s Parliament speaker expressed willingness for bilateral diplomacy with neighbors. The US-Iran ceasefire odds for April 7 are at 1%...
Trump gives Iran 10 days to negotiate or face Strait of Hormuz reopening
Trump has given Iran 10 days to either strike a deal or reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The odds of...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military strikes: FT
Iran’s call for a permanent ceasefire clashes with rising conflict. Odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to...
Ceasefire odds drop as Iran faces attacks, April 7 now at 1.1% YES
Iran’s call for a permanent end to the conflict is marred by new attacks on Khuzestan’s petrochemical sites and Israeli...
Iran threatens to target Zionist embassies amid Operation True Promise 4 footage
Iran has released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened to target Zionist embassies if attacked. The probability of...
Iran threatens Zionist embassies amid rising regime fall odds to 13.5% by June 30
Iran released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened Zionist embassies if attacked. The odds of the Iranian regime...
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.6M inflows in April 2026, but $100K target remains at 0% YES
Bitcoin ETFs see $69.59 million inflows in April 2026, but odds of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by June 30 remain at...
Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation
Israel’s attack on Iran’s oil facilities and Iran’s disruption of the Strait of Hormuz have hit the probability of a...
Israel escalates conflict with Iran, targeting oil facilities and reducing global flows
Israel targeted Iranian oil facilities, escalating a conflict that has already reduced global oil flows. Ceasefire by April 7 sits...
