Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86.5% amid tensions
Iraqi militias and Iran have targeted U.S. embassies and bases with missiles and drones. The odds of US forces entering...
Prediction Markets
Market predicts 86% chance of US forces entering Iran by April 30
Iraqi militias and Iran launched missiles and drones at U.S. embassies and bases. The probability of US forces entering Iran...
Iran rejects US demands, ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% by April 7
Iran has rejected U.S. demands and refused to meet with American officials in Islamabad. The odds of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire...
Iran’s refusal to meet US officials drops ceasefire odds to 1% by April 7
Iran’s refusal to meet US officials in Islamabad and its rejection of American demands have caused the ceasefire odds by...
US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence
A US combat search-and-rescue mission is active in Iran’s Khuzestan province after an F-15E fighter jet was shot down. The...
Iran downs two US warplanes, reducing April 7 ceasefire odds to 1%
Iran reportedly downed two US warplanes, sharply reducing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 to 1% YES,...
US-Iran ceasefire markets show sharp declines amid rising nuclear threat
Iran’s nuclear threat is shaking Middle East stability. The US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 now sits at 1% YES, down...
GBP/USD drops as strong US employment data fuels Fed rate hold speculation
The GBP/USD exchange rate dropped after strong US employment data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86% amid escalating tensions
U.S. strategy in Iran appears to be faltering, with diminishing support and damaged aircraft. Iran has reactivated its missile bunkers....
Market sees rising odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 at 86% YES
Iran has reactivated its underground missile bunkers, and multiple aircraft incidents occurred between US and Iranian forces in the last...
F-15E Strike Eagle shot down over Iran raises odds of US ground troops entering
A U.S. F-15E Strike Eagle was shot down over Iran, prompting immediate search-and-rescue operations. “US forces enter Iran by April...
Iran rejects US ceasefire demands, odds for April 7 drop to 1.1%
Iran has rejected US ceasefire demands, and mediators report that efforts for a ceasefire have failed. Ceasefire by April 7...
Trump signs executive order for 100% tariffs on patented drugs to boost US production
President Trump signed an executive order imposing 100% tariffs on patented drugs to boost US production. The odds of the...
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF sees $52B in assets, signals bullish trend for Bitcoin
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF sees daily trading volume at 57-75 million shares. The Bitcoin price target for June 30 remains unclear,...
Trump: US jet downing won’t affect Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds drop
Trump stated that the downing of a US jet won’t disrupt negotiations with Iran. The market for a US-Iran ceasefire...
