Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 14% amid military escalation
Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by...
Prediction Markets
Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 13.5% amid US-Israeli air campaign
Fighter jets over Tehran and Bushehr caused explosions, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by...
Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflow as Ethereum leads with $71.1M on April 4: FT
Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $8.99 million on April 4, contrasting with March’s $1.32 billion. Odds for Bitcoin hitting...
Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflows amid cautious market sentiment: FT
Bitcoin ETFs recorded $8.99 million in net inflows on April 4, 2026. This follows a strong March with $1.32 billion...
EU tariffs on US goods by September 30 loom as Trump escalates trade tensions
Trump’s reputation as a dealmaker challenging major powers stirs trade tensions. The odds of the EU imposing retaliatory tariffs on...
Market odds for Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% as skepticism grows: FT
A former CIA operative has stated that regime change in Iran is more challenging than the US anticipates. The market...
Odds of Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% from 20% a week ago
A former CIA operative claims regime change in Iran is tougher than the US perceives. The odds of the Iranian...
Explosions in Tehran raise odds of regime change to 14% by June 30
Multiple explosions rocked Tehran today, according to Iranian media. The odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 now...
Explosions in Tehran boost odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14% YES
Multiple explosions were reported in Tehran by Iranian media. The market for the Iranian regime falling by June 30 is...
Trump continues talks despite Iran downing two US jets; ceasefire odds drop to 1.1%
Trump continues negotiations despite Iran shooting down two US jets. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 are...
Odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 surge to 86.5% amid tensions
Iraqi militias and Iran have targeted U.S. embassies and bases with missiles and drones. The odds of US forces entering...
Market predicts 86% chance of US forces entering Iran by April 30
Iraqi militias and Iran launched missiles and drones at U.S. embassies and bases. The probability of US forces entering Iran...
Iran rejects US demands, ceasefire odds drop to 1.1% by April 7
Iran has rejected U.S. demands and refused to meet with American officials in Islamabad. The odds of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire...
Iran’s refusal to meet US officials drops ceasefire odds to 1% by April 7
Iran’s refusal to meet US officials in Islamabad and its rejection of American demands have caused the ceasefire odds by...
US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence
A US combat search-and-rescue mission is active in Iran’s Khuzestan province after an F-15E fighter jet was shot down. The...
