Iran attacks ships, UAE energy sites amid US naval operation in Hormuz
## Market Snapshot In the “US Invasion of Iran” market, pricing currently reflects a 33% YES likelihood. The “Trump’s Hormuz...
Prediction Markets
Ripple shares North Korean threat intel to curb crypto hacks by 2026
## Market Snapshot Total Crypto Hack Value in 2026 market is currently assessing scenarios, with potential implications of decreased cryptocurrency...
China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid rising tensions
## Market Snapshot Trump’s Visit to China market currently prices at 0.1% YES, down from 41% a week ago. WTI...
Iran conflict reignites, boosting oil prices and hitting equity markets
## Market Snapshot Bitcoin price market for May 7 shows a 99.8% YES pricing, slightly down from 100% one day...
China defies US sanctions, imports Iranian oil amid nuclear deal tensions
## Market Snapshot The US-Iran nuclear deal market is currently priced at 14.5% YES, slightly increased from 14% over the...
Chevron warns of oil shortages as Strait of Hormuz closure looms
## Market Snapshot The market for WTI Crude Oil prices in May 2026 shows high interest following news of potential...
Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid soaring fuel costs from Iran conflict
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for Spirit Airlines’ shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This...
Israel ready to resume military operations against Iran, awaits US approval
## Market Snapshot The “Fall of the Iranian Regime” market is currently priced at 3.1% YES, a slight increase from...
Russia warns of missile strike on Kyiv if Victory Day disrupted
## Market Snapshot In the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions market, the probability of a ceasefire by the end of 2026 is...
Solana treasury firm launches $200M equity program amid price prediction focus
## Market Snapshot The Solana price prediction market for May 2026 is currently focused on whether Solana will reach $170,...
$200B erased from US markets amid escalating US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot In the prediction market for Bitcoin’s price above $66,000 on May 7, the current pricing stands at...
Putin announces temporary ceasefire in Ukraine conflict amid ongoing hostilities
## Market Snapshot In the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026” market, the current pricing is at 8.5%...
Nagel warns prolonged conflict may sustain eurozone inflation, complicating ECB policy
## Market Snapshot ECB’s April 2026 interest rate market is priced at 100% YES for a 50+ bps decrease. Current...
Iran activates Project Freedom as tensions rise in Strait of Hormuz
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?” is currently...
Musk lawsuit adds uncertainty to OpenAI IPO plans before 2027
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for IPOs before 2027 currently shows a decline in the likelihood of OpenAI proceeding...
