Coinbase Says Prediction Markets Are Maturing, CFTC Needs No New Mandate
Key Takeaways: Coinbase urged the CFTC to regulate prediction markets under existing derivatives law. Federal oversight could prevent fragmented state...
Prediction Markets
KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
## Market Snapshot The market for “Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?” is currently unresolved, with key factors suggesting...
Iran proposes diplomatic plan, reducing military action likelihood
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Status by End of 2026 market is currently observing a decrease in YES pricing. The...
UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Shipping Agreement is currently priced at 11% YES, down from 16% in the last 24 hours....
UKMTO warns of increased naval activity in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot In the “Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement” market, the probability of a YES outcome is currently at 35.5%,...
Strait of Hormuz threat level remains critical amid military activity: UKMTO
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, the current odds for a YES outcome are...
Fed’s Kashkari warns Iran conflict complicates rate policy, hints at possible hike
## Market Snapshot Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026 are currently assessing the likelihood of no rate cuts, with market...
Trump warns of military action against Iran amid heightened tensions
## Market Snapshot The market for a potential U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 reflects heightened tensions, with indicators suggesting...
US returns seized Iranian ship Touska amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade
## Market Snapshot The market for “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz...
Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
## Market Snapshot In the “Fed Rate Cuts Predictions for 2026” market, the probability of no rate cuts is currently...
US to guide ships through Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot WTI Crude Oil Prices in May 2026 are currently priced with an expectation of a substantial increase,...
Iran vows retaliation if US resumes attacks amid ceasefire tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran Leadership Status by End of 2026 market shows ongoing uncertainty, with pricing suggesting instability in leadership....
Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
## Market Snapshot In the “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” market, YES pricing is at 4.5% for June 30,...
Brazil to unveil measures on household debt amid high Selic rate
## Market Snapshot The prediction market for the Bank of Brazil’s decision on the Selic rate in April 2026 is...
