John Ternus named next Apple CEO, Tim Cook to step down in 2026
Apple announced John Ternus as its next CEO, confirming Tim Cook will step down on September 1, 2026. The next...
Prediction Markets
Hezbollah dismisses Trump’s Israel-Lebanon ceasefire extension as ‘meaningless’
Hezbollah called President Trump’s three-week extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire “meaningless.” The market for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30...
Strait of Hormuz reopening eases Bitcoin volatility amid ceasefire
The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz amid a ceasefire has eased energy supply fears, affecting Bitcoin volatility. Bitcoin’s chance...
Iran seizes two merchant vessels in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
General Caine reports Iran has attacked five merchant vessels, seizing two in the Strait of Hormuz. The market for Iran...
Lebanon struggles to disarm Hezbollah, complicating US-backed ceasefire plan
Lebanon’s government is failing to disarm Hezbollah under a U.S.-backed plan. The difficulty enforcing a state monopoly on weapons complicates...
RBI warns of inflation risks from Mideast conflict, eyes on gold’s safe-haven role
RBI Deputy Governor Gupta flagged inflation risks from the ongoing Mideast conflict, raising questions about gold’s appeal as a safe...
Defense Secretary Hegseth fires Navy Secretary Phelan amid Hormuz blockade
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has fired Navy Secretary John Phelan during a live naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz....
US deploys three aircraft carriers to Middle East, escalating military presence
The deployment of three US aircraft carriers in the Middle East marks a major military escalation, and odds on the...
US Supreme Court tariff ruling stalls India-US trade talks amid Iran conflict
The US Supreme Court’s tariff ruling has stalled India-US trade talks, now overshadowed by the Iran conflict. The market on...
Morgan Stanley launches stablecoin reserves fund for issuers
Morgan Stanley has launched the Stablecoin Reserves Portfolio (MSNXX), a money market fund designed for stablecoin issuers, and the odds...
US tightens grip on Iran with new sanctions, policy shift unlikely by April
The probability of Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief by April has dropped to 10%, down from 20% just...
ECB signals possible rate hike amid Iran war inflation pressures
ECB board member Kazimir has indicated that the Iran war may require a slight ECB rate increase due to inflationary...
Israeli strikes on Al-Khiam continue despite ceasefire with Hezbollah
Israeli strikes on Al-Khiam in Southern Lebanon continue despite the existing ceasefire with Hezbollah. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...
Tehran medicine shortage feared amid Strait of Hormuz naval blockade
Healthcare workers in Tehran fear a medicine shortage as a naval blockade disrupts supply chains. The market for Iran targeting...
Kuwait reports drones from Iraq target border posts, no casualties
Kuwait reports two drones launched from Iraq targeted its northern border posts, with no casualties. The market for Gulf state...
