Iran intensifies crackdown with increased executions, prison abuse reports
Iran’s crackdown intensifies with reports of increased executions and abuse in prisons. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 market...
Prediction Markets
Bitcoin’s April 24 surge driven by short squeeze, not fundamentals
BTC’s rise on April 24 was fueled by a short squeeze, not fundamentals. The price of Bitcoin being above $68,000...
Traders bet against crude oil record high, Bitcoin dip amid geopolitical tensions
Markets are pricing in almost no chance that geopolitical turmoil will produce extreme outcomes, with crude oil reaching an all-time...
Trump fires Navy Secretary Phelan over shipbuilding strategy disputes
Trump announced the dismissal of Navy Secretary Phelan, citing disputes over shipbuilding strategy. The Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization market,...
Iran warns of retaliation on Saudi oil facilities amid rising tensions
Esmail Saqab Esfahani, a deputy to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, warned that any attack on Iran’s oil infrastructure will trigger...
China dismisses Trump’s claim on Iranian ship, tensions rise
China dismissed Trump’s claim that an intercepted Iranian cargo ship was a “gift from China.” The odds of Trump visiting...
EU leaders push for new strategies to tackle energy crisis amid US-Israel conflict
European Union leaders have tasked their finance ministers with devising new strategies to manage the continent’s energy crunch. The market...
Iran engages air defenses over Tehran amid ongoing conflict
Iranian air defenses engaged hostile targets over Tehran amid ongoing conflict. The likelihood of the Iranian regime falling by June...
Kuwait airport to resume operations April 26 amid Gulf region de-escalation
Kuwait International Airport plans to resume operations on April 26, a sign of localized de-escalation in the Gulf region. The...
Macron pushes for European support in Lebanon, plans regional conference
French President Emmanuel Macron is rallying Europe to aid Lebanon and has announced an upcoming conference involving regional countries. The...
Trump-Iran meeting unlikely by April 30 amid stalled Middle East talks
The likelihood of a diplomatic meeting between Trump and Iran by April 30 has dropped to 2.4% YES, down from...
Bitcoin conviction buyers increase holdings 69% in Q1 despite 22% price drop
ARK Invest reported a 69% increase in Bitcoin held by conviction buyers during Q1 2026, with supply rising from 2.13M...
US expands military presence in Venezuela with new chargé d’affaires arrival
John Barrett has arrived in Caracas as the new U.S. chargé d’affaires, and the US Military Action in 2026 market,...
US offers $10M bounty for Iran-linked militia leader amid deal doubts
The U.S. State Department is offering $10 million for information on Abu Ala al-Wala’i, leader of the Iran-aligned militia Kata’ib...
Ethereum could rally to $6K on supply cuts, institutional demand
Cointelegraph reports that bullish metrics could rally Ethereum to $6,000. The market for Ethereum reaching $4,000 in April 2026 sits...
