Bitfinex backs El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, eyes on $100K by June 30: FT
Bitfinex supports El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, boosting sentiment for the cryptocurrency’s long-term use. Odds for Bitcoin exceeding $100,000 by June...
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US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet
The U.S. has informed Israel that negotiations with Iran have hit a deadlock. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April...
Explosions near Revolutionary Guard base raise odds of regime fall to 14% by June 30
Explosions occurred near a Revolutionary Guard base in southwestern Iran, pushing the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June...
Iran hints at reopening Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop
Iran’s suggestion of reopening the Strait of Hormuz signals possible de-escalation. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have...
Trump’s speech signals ongoing conflict, dims ceasefire chances
Trump’s Iran war speech signaled continued conflict, reducing the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to just 1.9% YES,...
Trump urges Iran to make a deal before it is too late
Trump’s call for Iran to negotiate has increased the odds for a US-Iran ceasefire. The market for a ceasefire by...
Trump’s Iran speech signals escalation, dims ceasefire odds
Trump’s latest speech hints at continued military escalation in Iran, reducing the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 to...
Reactions suggest Iran war escalation, ceasefire odds dip
Reactions indicate the Iran war is likely to escalate, with no signs of resolution. The odds for a US-Iran ceasefire...
Iran’s IRGC defies trump’s threats, impacting regime stability odds
Iran’s IRGC criticized Trump’s threats, with the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 dropping to 10% YES....
Iran’s army chief warns of ‘total destruction’ for ground invasion
Iran’s army chief warned of “total destruction” if a ground invasion occurs. Odds for US forces entering Iran by April...
Trump warns of major US strikes on Iran within weeks
Trump’s warning of US strikes on Iran in the next 2–3 weeks has dropped the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire...
China offers to mediate hormuz crisis, impacting ceasefire odds
China is ready to mediate the Hormuz crisis, affecting US-Iran ceasefire odds. The chance of a ceasefire by April 30...
Gulf tensions lower ceasefire odds
A CIA report on rising military tensions in the Gulf has hit the odds for a ceasefire. The chance of...
US and allies increase military pressure on Iran
The U.S. and allies have intensified military actions against Iran, causing the odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7...
US and allies intensify military actions against Iran
Operation Epic Fury’s escalation cuts ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 7 is at 8.5% YES, down from 10% yesterday. The...
